Deterrence

Deterrence on Trial: Russia’s Drone Incursion into Poland and the Low-End Stress Test for NATO

Since late summer, Russia’s long-range strike campaign against Ukraine, built around cruise missiles and Shahed-type drones, has pushed the risks of cross-border spillover to the front of North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (hereinafter: NATO) politics. That abstraction turned concrete on the night of 9-10 September 2025, when 19 suspected Russian drones crossed into Polish airspace during...