Shocks, Identities and Votes: The Canadian Election 2025

In the lead-up to Canada’s 2025 federal election, conventional wisdom and early polling pointed to a decisive victory of the “Conservative Party of Canada” (hereinafter: the Conservatives). The opposition Conservatives, led by Pierre Poilievre, enjoyed a commanding lead in late 2024 amid public fatigue with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s and his party’s nearly decade-long rule....