ISLAMABAD BLAST: SUSPECTS IDENTIFIED AS AFGHAN NATIONALS

The government of Pakistan identified the perpetrator of the 11 November 2025 Islamabad blast and those involved in a separate security operation in South Waziristan as Afghan nationals. The suicide bombing occurred outside the District Judicial Complex in Islamabad, resulting in the deaths of 12 people and injuries to 27 to 36 individuals. The blast marked the deadliest attack in the Pakistani capital in nearly two decades. The assertion that the perpetrators are Afghan nationals and that the attack was planned and directed from Afghanistan has increased tensions between the two nations. This development comes despite a recently established ceasefire and ongoing diplomatic efforts.

Islamabad Blast And South Waziristan Operation

The suicide bombing on 11 November 2025 in the G-11 sector of Islamabad occurred at approximately 12:30 local time. The assailant, an Afghan national identified as Qari Usman Shinwari, attempted to gain entry to the District Judicial Complex. Upon failing to enter the building after waiting near the entrance for an estimated 10 to 15 minutes, the bomber detonated the explosive device near a police vehicle parked outside the gates.

The Interior Minister of Pakistan, Mohsin Naqvi, stated that the attack was carried out by Afghan nationals and was planned and directed from Afghanistan. The explosion killed 12 people and injured 27 to 36 others. Victims included civilians present for court appointments. The subsequent investigation recovered the decapitated head of the attacker, which confirmed the nature of the attack.

The day before the Islamabad bombing, a separate incident involved an attack on a Cadet College in the South Waziristan district of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, which is situated on the border with Afghanistan. This attack involved a suicide bomber detonating explosives at the main gate, injuring six people. Security officials reported that the attack at the Cadet College Wana was carried out by the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (hereinafter: TTP). A two-day military operation in Wana concluded on 11 November 2025, during which more than 500 students, teachers and staff were rescued.

Attribution Of Responsibility And Official Statements

A faction of the TTP, known as Jamaat-ul-Ahrar, claimed responsibility for the Islamabad attack, which they claimed targeted “judges, lawyers and officials who carried out rulings under Pakistan’s un-Islamic laws”. However, the TTP officially denied involvement.

Following the Islamabad attack, Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif described the attack on unarmed civilians as “reprehensible”. The Defence Minister of Pakistan, Khawaja Asif, called the attack a “wake-up call” and “a war for all of Pakistan”. He further stated that Pakistan was in a “state of war” and that those who believe the Pakistan Army is only fighting on the border should view the attack as a warning that the conflict involves all of Pakistan.

Minister Asif, in a public statement on his X account, accused the “rulers of Kabul” of sending a message by bringing the war to Islamabad. He further asserted that the “rulers of Kabul can stop terrorism in Pakistan” and that Pakistan has the “full strength to respond”. He clarified in a subsequent statement to a local news channel that Afghanistan’s conflicts are based on “insurgency,” and to counter this, Pakistan “must rely on conventional war,” for which Pakistan has a “great army”.

Pakistan has repeatedly accused Afghanistan of providing sanctuary to the TTP and other armed groups, including the Balochistan Liberation Army (hereinafter: BLA) and the local affiliate of the Islamic State (hereinafter: IS), known as the ISKP. The Afghan government rejects these accusations.

Security And Regional Tensions

The attacks occurred against the backdrop of heavily strained relations between Pakistan and Afghanistan. Violence in Pakistan has recently increased sharply, especially in the Afghan-bordering provinces of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan, with security forces particularly targeted. The explosions in Islamabad and Delhi increased political pressure and mutual suspicion; security measures in Pakistan were tightened.

The Islamabad attack comes at a sensitive moment in negotiations: Pakistan and Afghanistan had only recently agreed to a ceasefire in Doha – mediated by Qatar and Türkiye – after severe border clashes. Two subsequent rounds of talks in Istanbul produced no breakthrough, though both sides maintained the ceasefire and planned a monitoring mechanism. The new attack now threatens the fragile peace process. A Turkish delegation is expected this week to try to salvage the talks, while mediators urge restraint.

Concluding Outlook

The confirmed involvement of Afghan nationals in the recent Islamabad blast and the subsequent official statements from the Pakistani Defence Minister signal a substantial elevation of the cross-border conflict from a localised border issue to a matter of potential conventional confrontation between the two nations. The explicit public reference to a “conventional war” by Minister Asif, despite the ongoing diplomatic engagement and ceasefire agreement, fundamentally repositions the institutional outlook of Pakistan’s security establishment towards its western neighbour.

The original ceasefire agreement, reached in Doha and facilitated by Qatar and Türkiye in October 2025, sought to establish a framework for peace, which included an agreement to implement a monitoring and verification mechanism. However, the targeting of Pakistan’s capital and the clear attribution of the attack’s planning and direction to Afghanistan provide a strong internal impetus for the Pakistani government to consider its military options as a primary rather than secondary course of action, in line with Minister Asif’s public warning. The political rhetoric from Islamabad suggests that the recent violence is being framed as an act of state-level aggression, creating a clear and direct security challenge for the current diplomatic framework.